Nvidia’s $65 billion forecast sends a clear message about the rise of AI

Nvidia’s  billion forecast sends a clear message about the rise of AI
Nvidia’s  billion forecast sends a clear message about the rise of AI

  • The artificial intelligence industry has seen rapid growth, leading to speculation that the artificial intelligence sector could be in a bubble.

  • Nvidia has been generating strong sales of its AI accelerators and expects them to continue in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 with estimated revenue of $65 billion.

  • According to Nvidia’s CEO, major technological changes in platforms are driving the growth of the AI ​​sector.

  • 10 stocks we like more than Nvidia ›

The artificial intelligence (AI) sector has expanded rapidly since ChatGPT creator OpenAI launched its AI chatbot in late 2022. But after several years of phenomenal growth, some observers worry that the entire AI sector and stocks of companies that rely on this technology may be in a bubble.

What awaits the AI ​​industry in 2026? One way to assess its prospects would be to examine the leader in semiconductor chips. NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA).

An Nvidia sign sits outside an office building.
Image source: Nvidia.

Nvidia predicts that in its current quarter, the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, its revenue will reach $65 billion. But what are the implications of that forecast for the AI ​​space more broadly?

First, a little context. Nvidia once again demonstrated why it is a leader in the AI ​​industry when it released its fiscal third quarter results. For the period, which ended Oct. 26, it posted record revenue of $57 billion, a 62% year-over-year increase.

With this as context, its forecast for $65 billion in fiscal fourth-quarter sales shows its revenue growth is accelerating: It’s pointing to a massive 65% jump from the prior-year period’s revenue of $39.3 billion, which was a record at the time.

Nvidia’s projected fourth-quarter sales growth demonstrates that the huge demand for its data center solutions is not slowing. “Demand for AI infrastructure continues to exceed our expectations,” Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress said on the earnings call.

In fact, Nvidia’s AI chip platforms, Blackwell and its successor, Vera Rubin (due to launch in the second half of 2026), are seeing strong customer orders.

“We currently have visibility of half a trillion dollars in revenue from Blackwell and Rubin from the beginning of this year through the end of calendar year 2026,” Kress also said on the call.

Given Nvidia’s enormous success, it’s no surprise that the company’s stock is up about 39% in 2025. But that kind of rapid share price growth has contributed to concerns about valuations in the AI ​​market.

CEO Jensen Huang directly addressed these concerns on the fiscal third-quarter call, saying, “There’s been a lot of talk about an AI bubble. From our perspective, we see something very different.”

Source link