AST SpaceMobile increases 8%; Virgin Galactic and Rocket Lab join the SpaceX IPO wave

AST SpaceMobile increases 8%; Virgin Galactic and Rocket Lab join the SpaceX IPO wave
AST SpaceMobile increases 8%; Virgin Galactic and Rocket Lab join the SpaceX IPO wave

Quick reading

  • AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) has a market capitalization of $41 billion with 60 mobile network operator partners covering over 3 billion subscribers and targeting 45 BlueBird satellites in orbit by the end of 2026.

  • Rocket Lab (RKLB) reported Q1 revenue of $200.35 million, up 64% year-over-year, with an order backlog of $2.2 billion and Neutron debuting in Q4 2026 expected; Virgin Galactic (SPCE) aims to complete flight testing of its new spacecraft in the third quarter of 2026 and conduct commercial spaceflight in the fourth quarter of 2026.

  • Public space stocks are rising on SpaceX IPO speculation, with investors treating ASTS, RKLB and SPCE as viable ways to gain exposure to SpaceX hype ahead of a potential listing.

  • The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 stocks and AST SpaceMobile wasn’t one of them. Get them here for FREE.

Actions of AST Mobile Space (NASDAQ:ASTS) rose 8% in midday trading on May 27, trading near $129. The name of the direct-to-cell satellite is leading a sympathy rally in the space sector linked to the SpaceX IPO rumor.

The move extends an already torrid streak. ASTS stock is up 78% year to date (YTD), making it the main driver in a basket where rocket laboratory (NASDAQ:RKLB) and Galactic Virgin (NYSE:SPCE) are doing the same halo business.

The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 stocks and AST SpaceMobile wasn’t one of them. Get them here for FREE.

Investors are treating publicly traded space names as the only liquid way to cash in on SpaceX’s buzz ahead of a potential stock listing. ASTS stock is the major player today, with SPCE and RKLB stock as the supporting cast in SpaceX’s pre-IPO halo trade.

AST SpaceMobile: direct-to-cell catalyst stacking

AST SpaceMobile has a market capitalization of $41 billion and a credible roadmap. The company has around 60 mobile network operator (MNO) partners covering more than 3 billion subscribers and is targeting approximately 45 BlueBird satellites in orbit by the end of 2026, with BlueBird 8-10 launching in mid-June on a Falcon 9.

AST SpaceMobile’s Q1 2026 results were mixed. Revenue of $14.73 million missed estimates by 60% and earnings per share came in at -$0.66. Management reaffirmed fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of between $150 million and $200 million.

CEO Abel Avellan proudly stated:

AST SpaceMobile is accelerating manufacturing, regulatory progress, trade partnerships and government programs, advancing our position as the only technology positioned to fully capture the enormous direct-to-device broadband opportunity.

However, there is a bearish case to note: the analyst consensus sets the price target for ASTS shares at $83.47, well below the current price, and insiders have recorded 21 recent transactions that lean towards net selling.

Rocket Lab: Trading SpaceX Competitors

Rocket Lab shares are up 4% today, and the symbol is now showing a 112% year-to-date gain. SpaceX’s S-1 explicitly names Rocket Lab as a competitor “in the small payload launch market but expanding to medium payloads,” which is exactly the bullish thesis here.

Rocket Lab’s Q1 2026 numbers were clean. Revenue reached $200.35 million, up 64% year-on-year, and the order book grew to $2.2 billion. Q2 2026 revenue guidance of $225 million to $240 million and Neutron’s Q4 2026 debut anchor the future story, along with selection for the Golden Dome Space Based Interceptor program with Raytheon.

Polymarket bettors are leaning upward. The same day market offers a 94% chance of RKLB closing in the green today, and the May modal price target sits at $156 with a 58% chance.

Virgin Galactic: The speculative queue

Virgin Galactic shares rose 4% to $3.66, but context matters. The company’s market capitalization is approximately $386 million.

Virgin Galactic’s revenue in the first quarter of 2026 was just $227,000 with earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.81. CEO Michael Colglazier noted that the first new spacecraft has been delivered to the test and launch hangar, with flight tests planned for the third quarter of 2026 and a commercial spaceflight scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2026. SPCE stock is potentially the riskiest slot in the basket, a pre-earnings suborbital story sensitive to any slippage in that timeline.

What to watch

The setup depends on whether SpaceX’s IPO narrative produces concrete filing details. Reddit sentiment on ASTS is already showing signs of cooling, with activity scores falling to 13-14 on May 27 after midweek spikes above 60.

Prudent investors may want to modestly size their positions, given how stretched one-month moves across the group appear. RKLB stock is up 80% in a month, ASTS stock is up 67%, and SPCE stock is up 44%. Watch to see if today’s gains hold through the close and if any SpaceX S-1 timing leaks hit the tape tomorrow.

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