McDonald’s is one of the most popular restaurants in the world, but the company has recently witnessed a worrying shift in customer behavior as the economy puts pressure on many of its customers, forcing them to reduce their visits.
Customers can’t be blamed, as prices in the quick service restaurant (QSR) industry have increased significantly, making fast food considerably more expensive than in the past. When I went recently, a six-piece McNuggets, a small Sprite, and fries cost me about $8. Very expensive, right? Still, it’s not uncommon to go to McDonald’s and see value menu offerings over $10, making the cost of lunch or dinner for a small family seem more like casual dining than fast food.
Unfortunately, it doesn’t seem to be getting better. The latest inflation data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index shows that food prices outside the home increased 3.7% in September year over year.
With prices rising, it’s no surprise that more people are skipping the Drive-thru, a trend that Placer.ai says has gotten worse, adding more pressure on McDonald’s.
McDonald’s (MCD) foot traffic declined 3.5% overall in the third quarter, according to a recent report from Placer.ai. But when you dig deeper into the data, the numbers are even more worrying. New store openings partially offset the number. If those locations are removed from the equation, traffic to stores open at least a year fell 4%.
“The quick-service category is under pressure from multiple fronts: persistent inflation, changing consumer behavior, budget menu fatigue, and even the growing adoption of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, which are dampening demand for food consumed outside the home,” Placer.ai wrote.
Consumers are increasingly cautious about spending, especially households with lower total incomes, McDonald’s biggest customer. Rising layoffs and inflation outstripping wage gains are a large and persistent headwind.
“We have low-income consumers who remain under pressure; their QSR visits (industry-wide) were down double digits again in the second quarter,” McDonald’s Chief Financial Officer Ian Borden said on the company’s second-quarter earnings conference call.
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Year of foundation: 1940
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Number of locations worldwide: 43,477 in 2024.
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Annual revenue: $25.9 billion in 2024.
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Employees: >2 million worldwide, including franchises.
Source: SEC 10-K Filing.