NBA Playoffs Recap: Rockets’ seeding scenario guide for final weekend

NBA Playoffs Recap: Rockets’ seeding scenario guide for final weekend
NBA Playoffs Recap: Rockets’ seeding scenario guide for final weekend

Entering the final weekend of the 2025-26 NBA regular season, the Houston Rockets are assured of their playoff spot. However, its seed remains very much in doubt.

There are three teams in close competition for spots 3 through 5 in the Western Conference’s eight-team playoff bracket. The Denver Nuggets are 52-28, while the Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers are 51-29.

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Unfortunately for Houston, the Rockets would lose the two- and three-team playoffs to those clubs. So right now, Houston is currently the fifth seed, which would mean opening the 2026 playoffs on the road.

The top four seeds have home field advantage in the first round, which could be valuable for a Houston group that was just 22-19 in road games this season.

On the other hand, the margins between the Nuggets, Lakers and Rockets are close enough that things could easily change in the final two games. The remaining schedules are as follows:

  • rockets: will host Minnesota (47-33) on Friday, host Memphis (25-55) on Sunday

  • nuggets: will host Oklahoma City (64-16) on Friday, at San Antonio (61-19) on Sunday

  • Lakers: will host Phoenix (44-36) on Friday, host Utah (21-59) on Sunday

Unlike the Rockets, Nuggets and Lakers, those six opponents are either eliminated from postseason contention or already locked into their playoff spot. That could prompt many to rest key players, as the Thunder have already committed to doing so (injury report) by Friday night.

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With this in mind, if all three teams finish 2-0, the standings will remain as is. The Nuggets would be the No. 3 seed and face the No. 6 Timberwolves in the first round, while the Lakers and Rockets would meet in the No. 4 versus No. 5 series.

While Los Angeles would have home field advantage in that scenario, there are also major health issues surrounding injured stars Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves, which could make that a good outcome for the Rockets.

Although Houston is 29-10 at home, the Rockets might prefer to start on the road against the short-handed Lakers than start at home against the emerging Nuggets (who are much healthier and have won 10 straight games).

There are also future matchups to consider. The winner of the 4/5 series would side with the group as the defending champion Thunder, while the winner of 3/6 would side with the second-seeded Spurs.

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