Prop bets appearing in week 14

Finding value in player accessories is one of the most consistent ways to beat the books. Each week, FTN highlights three fixtures identified by our proprietary model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times. Below you’ll see the posted line, FTN projection, and upside percentage, followed by context on why this property makes sense. To see the best accessories of the week, be sure to visit our accessories tool.

All odds are according to BetMGM.

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Prop Bet 1: Emeka Egbuka 54.5+ receiving yards

-115
FTN Projection: 76.1
Advantage: 17.8%

The Bucs and Egbuka have a big matchup against the Saints this weekend. The Saints rank 22nd in DVOA against the pass and have struggled against the pass in recent weeks. Egbuka was quiet in his first matchup against New Orleans, but still saw 9 goals in that game. And while he’s been relatively quiet in recent weeks, he hasn’t been below 8 targets since Week 6.

Prop Bet 2: Breece Hall 90.5+ Rushing Yards + Receiving Yards

-115
FTN Projection: 113.3
Advantage: 16.6%

Breece continues to be a focal point in the Jets’ offense. Last week, Breece played a season-high 88% of snaps and hasn’t dipped below 70% since the team’s Week 9 bye. He’s been more productive with Tyrod Taylor at QB and has a great matchup against the Dolphins, who rank 30th in DVOA against RBs in the passing game.

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Final thoughts

Betting on the NFL is all about finding small edges that add up over the course of the season. The FTN Bet of the Week is just one example of the practical insights our model offers. Lock in this week’s best bet and check back each week for the next best NFL free play.