SoftBank tried to borrow $6 billion against its stake in OpenAI and then the stock plummeted 9.7%. Is the rise of AI becoming a reality?

SoftBank tried to borrow  billion against its stake in OpenAI and then the stock plummeted 9.7%. Is the rise of AI becoming a reality?
SoftBank tried to borrow  billion against its stake in OpenAI and then the stock plummeted 9.7%. Is the rise of AI becoming a reality?

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The AI ​​wave hit a wall on Wednesday as tech stocks around the world experienced a pullback, sparking a multibillion-dollar reckoning.

SoftBank (OTCMKTS: SFTBY) led the decline, falling as much as 9.7% that morning after an aggressive bid to secure a $6 billion margin loan, backed by its subprime position in OpenAI, hit a dead end, according to a Bloomberg report (1).

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Masayoshi Son, CEO of SoftBank, is particularly bullish on AI. Earlier this year, Son told CNBC (2) that he believes the AI ​​revolution will be “more than 10 times, probably 50 times bigger than the dotcom revolution.”

The June 10 drop came as semiconductor stocks in Asia and Europe also fell sharply. South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix (OTCMKTS:HXSCL) fell 7.5%, Samsung Electronics (OTCMKTS:SSNLF) fell 6.1%, while Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (NYSE:TSM) lost about 2%.

After years of rampant expansion fueled by generative AI, the cooling sentiment suggests the sector may be creaking under the weight of its own expectations.

“Investors are a little nervous about increased volatility this week,” Dan Coatsworth, head of markets at AJ Bell, wrote in a morning note, according to other CNBC reports (3).

A reality check on the rise of AI?

Traditionally, margin loans (4) rely on liquid assets that lenders can instantly value and offload to mitigate risk.

But OpenAI challenges that model. Although it dominates the zeitgeist, it remains a private entity, making its true market value uncertain and difficult for lenders to pin down. Naturally, that’s a deal breaker for banks that are wary of collateral they can’t definitively value during a market correction.

And despite Son’s enthusiasm for AI, history warns that transformative technology often breeds speculative excess. For example, the Internet reinvented commerce, but the collapse of the dotcom bubble (5) ended in a brutal purge when speculative capital exceeded real profit.

Companies like Pets.com disappeared (6), and even the biggest names had to shed assets to survive. Similar cycles (7) have been repeated with special purpose acquisition companies and cryptocurrencies.

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