Wall Street Monitors Private Credit Risk as AI Disruption and Capital Outflows Cause Concern

Wall Street Monitors Private Credit Risk as AI Disruption and Capital Outflows Cause Concern
Wall Street Monitors Private Credit Risk as AI Disruption and Capital Outflows Cause Concern

By Manya Saini, Saeed Azhar and Tatiana Bautzer

April 14 (Reuters) – Wall Street executives said they were stress testing or monitoring private credit portfolios while the asset class is under scrutiny, but said they were comfortable with their exposure.

The comments came after three of the six largest US lenders disclosed financial exposure of around $108 billion to private credit or related loans during their quarterly results. Private credit has been in the spotlight after AI risks, fund outflows and fears of credit stress hit shares of alternative asset managers.

The $3.5 trillion asset class has attracted pension funds, insurers and wealthy individuals with the promise of consistently higher returns, but its rapid expansion into less liquid and harder-to-value loans has also raised concerns about how it would hold up under pressure.

The $1.8 trillion direct lending segment, which is part of private credit, competes directly with widely syndicated loans and traditional bank loans for the financing of medium and large private equity-backed deals.

“We’re passing our own test and we’re comfortable with the way we’re sitting there, so constant monitoring of the venture capital framework will play a role,” Citigroup Chief Financial Officer Gonzalo Luchetti said on an earnings call. He said the bank was constantly testing its portfolios, including in the private credit space, for a variety of macroeconomic environments.

A series of negative headlines have hurt the private lending sector this year, with growing concerns that software portfolios are vulnerable to AI disruption and that lending to small and medium-sized businesses could come under pressure.

The default rate among U.S. corporate private credit borrowers rose to a record 9.2% in 2025, according to a report last month from credit ratings agency Fitch Ratings.

Other signs of stress have also emerged. Private credit funds, known as business development companies (BDCs), are being hit by higher rates on their bank loans, even as the historically high double-digit returns they earn on private loans shrink.

JPMorgan Chief Financial Officer Jeremy Barnum in a call with reporters said the bank was “watching the space very closely,” adding that JPMorgan was well protected through portfolio diversification, underwriting and client selection.

“But obviously, if we see a big credit cycle with a significant increase in default rates, we’re going to see some system-wide losses,” Barnum said.

JPMorgan said its private credit exposure was $50 billion in the first quarter.

Source link