Energy Transfer’s growth prospects continue to improve

Energy Transfer’s growth prospects continue to improve
Energy Transfer’s growth prospects continue to improve

  • Energy Transfer’s growth has slowed this year.

  • It expects to complete several expansion projects in the coming quarters to fuel its growth.

  • The MLP also recently secured several new gas supply deals.

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While Energy transfer (NYSE: ET) pays a high yield distribution (currently 7.8%), growth is a big part of its DNA. The master limited partnership (MLP) had grown its earnings at a compound annual rate of 10% from 2020 to 2024. While growth will slow this year, a reacceleration is on the horizon.

The midstream giant has several expansion projects coming online over the next year, driving incremental cash flow. Meanwhile, its long-term growth prospects continue to improve as MLP secures new expansion opportunities. This growth could give it the fuel to produce solid total returns in the coming years.

Several oil pipelines recede into the distance.
Image source: Getty Images.

Energy Transfer recently reported its third quarter results. The midstream company generated $3.8 billion in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) during the period, up from $4 billion in the prior-year quarter. Meanwhile, it produced $1.9 billion of distributable cash flow, down from the $2 billion it generated last year.

It was still enough cash to cover the company’s high-yield distribution payout, which totaled more than $1.1 billion during the quarter. The company has produced nearly $6.2 billion in cash this year, easily covering the $3.4 billion it distributed to investors.

Energy Transfer’s earnings and cash flow fell during the period, primarily due to several one-time items. That offset what was another strong period operationally. The company set new records in NGL terminal and refined products volumes (up 10%), NGL transportation volumes (up 11%), NGL exports (up 13%), and midstream collected volumes (up 3%). Driving those growing volumes was increased capacity from previously completed acquisitions and expansion projects.

Despite the earnings decline in the period, Energy Transfer is on track to deliver adjusted EBITDA slightly below the lower end of its guidance range of $16.1 billion to $16.5 billion. That implies growth of almost 4% compared to last year’s level.

While Energy Transfer’s earnings growth rate has slowed this year, it’s on track to accelerate again in the coming years. The company is investing $4.6 billion in growth capital projects this year and expects to fund another $5 billion in growth-related capital expenditures in 2026. These investments will allow the company to complete several expansion projects over the next year, while laying the foundation for future growth.

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