Nvidia bets on new data center chips for growth as sales outlook beats estimates

Nvidia bets on new data center chips for growth as sales outlook beats estimates
Nvidia bets on new data center chips for growth as sales outlook beats estimates

By Stephen Nellis, Max A. Cherney and Zaheer Kachwala

May 20 (Reuters) – Nvidia Chief Executive Jensen Huang on Wednesday wanted to assure investors that the world’s most valuable company can maintain its successful growth with the help of a broad customer base and that new products will help it surpass the $1 trillion in sales it has forecast for its flagship AI chips.

However, shares fell 1.6% in extended trading, a sign that investors believe Nvidia will face tougher competition even though it forecast second-quarter revenue above Wall Street estimates and announced an $80 billion share buyback program.

Nvidia expects revenue of $91 billion, up 2% from estimates of $86.84 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

The company’s results are largely considered a barometer of the health of the AI ​​market, as its chips are used in virtually every major data center in the world, powering the largest and most advanced AI models.

“Nvidia hit another beat, but at this point that’s pretty much priced in as it continues to outperform quarter after quarter,” said eMarketer analyst Jacob Bourne. “The remaining question is whether it can convince investors that AI development has durability through 2027 and 2028, especially as the narrative shifts toward inference workloads and competing silicon from Google, Amazon, AMD and Intel.”

The company also said it would increase its quarterly cash dividend to 25 cents per share, from 1 cent.

Spending on AI infrastructure continues to grow rapidly, with US tech giants including Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft expected to spend more than $700 billion on AI this year, a sharp jump from around $400 billion in 2025.

Huang told analysts on a conference call that he believes Nvidia will grow faster than those “hyperscale” customers, pointing to a new customer subsegment in its data center business that includes AI-specific cloud companies. Sales to those customers were about the same as those of the big cloud players, but they grew faster quarter over quarter.

“We should grow faster than large-scale capital spending,” Huang said.

GROWING COMPETITION FROM CUSTOM CHIPS

While they rely heavily on expensive Nvidia processors, many of Nvidia’s largest customers are also pouring funds into developing their own custom chips to run models, posing a risk to Nvidia’s long-standing dominance over the chip industry.

Nvidia faces competition not only from Big Tech but also from other chip rivals, including Intel and Advanced Micro Devices, which have touted a big revenue opportunity by selling CPUs to serve the inference market.

Nvidia has taken steps to defend its position. In March it presented a new central processor and an artificial intelligence system based on technology from Groq, a chip startup specialized in inference.

VERA CHIP Aims for a new market

During the conference call, Huang said Nvidia’s new “Vera” core processors give it access to a new $200 billion market. Nvidia expects $20 billion in revenue from Vera chip sales by the end of this fiscal year, which Huang confirmed was not included in the company’s previous $1 trillion estimate for “Blackwell” and “Rubin” AI chips between 2025 and 2027.

“I expect (Vera) to be the second largest sales contributor beyond $1 trillion in Blackwell and Rubin chips,” Huang said during the call. “All of our customers are very excited about Vera.”

But Huang also admitted that “my feeling is that we will be limited in supply for the entire lifespan of Vera Rubin,” referring to a technology platform that combines both chips and will be launched later this year.

Nvidia is spending big to ensure it doesn’t suffer supply chain problems during a global memory chip crisis. Nvidia said Wednesday that its offering increased to $119 billion in the fiscal first quarter, up from $95.2 billion in the previous quarter.

Nvidia reported first-quarter revenue of $81.62 billion, beating analysts’ average estimate of $78.86 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Data center revenue in the quarter was $75.2 billion, compared with analysts’ average estimate of $72.8 billion.

On an adjusted basis, the company earned $1.87 per share, compared to market estimates of $1.76.

Nvidia also disclosed cloud computing deals worth $30 billion, up from $27 billion, which it said were going to help its research and development efforts. Seaport analyst Jay Goldberg said in a research note last year that that commitment likely represents “fallbacks” in which Nvidia agrees to pay cloud computing companies that buy its hardware for excess capacity from those companies that run Nvidia systems.

(Reporting by Zaheer Kachwala and Anhata Rooprai in Bengaluru and Stephen Nellis and Max A. Cherney in San Francisco; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli and Matthew Lewis)

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